Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +200 W&M -245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -5.7 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -4.3 (+7.3) | 146.3 (+4.7) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -2.9 (+5.9) | 148.4 (+2.6) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -4.7 (+7.7) | 143.7 (+7.3) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -4.7 (+7.7) | 144.1 (+6.9) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | W&M 94 – 85 HAMP |
| Jan 23, 2025 | W&M 94 – 83 HAMP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | W&M 67 – 64 HAMP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | W&M 85 – 73 HAMP |
| Jan 12, 2024 | W&M 73 – 61 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#256) | 2.8 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#259) | 0.48 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#268) | 0.52 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#271) | 0.545 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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