Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | W&M -535 HAMP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +9 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -11.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -11.9 (-2.9) | 148.7 (+30.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -8.7 (+0.3) | 148.8 (+30.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -11.1 (-2.1) | 149.3 (+29.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -11.3 (-2.3) | 150.0 (+29.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | HAMP 77 – 74 W&M |
| Jan 23, 2025 | W&M 94 – 83 HAMP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | W&M 67 – 64 HAMP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | W&M 85 – 73 HAMP |
| Jan 12, 2024 | W&M 73 – 61 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#126) | -6.4 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#145) | -1.04 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#129) | -1.40 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#107) | 0.446 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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