Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | W&M -188 HAMP +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +12 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -6.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -4.6 (+7.4) | 141.4 (+16.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -4.3 (+7.7) | 139.2 (+18.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -4.0 (+8.0) | 138.9 (+19.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -4.6 (+7.4) | 141.3 (+16.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | W&M 94 – 85 HAMP |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HAMP 77 – 74 W&M |
| Jan 23, 2025 | W&M 94 – 83 HAMP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | W&M 67 – 64 HAMP |
| Jan 12, 2024 | W&M 73 – 61 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 2-13 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#320) | -12.8 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#335) | -2.17 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#330) | -2.46 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#346) | 0.400 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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