Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +120 W&M -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +12 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | W&M -1.7 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -2.1 (-9.9) | 146.8 (-12.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -1.8 (-10.2) | 148.2 (-14.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -2.2 (-9.8) | 150.0 (-16.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -3.1 (-8.9) | 149.6 (-15.6) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | W&M 94 – 85 HAMP |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HAMP 77 – 74 W&M |
| Jan 23, 2025 | W&M 94 – 83 HAMP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | W&M 67 – 64 HAMP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | W&M 85 – 73 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 4-14 |
| Home | 5-9 | 7-7 |
| Away | 1-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#351) | -9.2 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.23 (#357) | -1.83 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.88 (#354) | -2.25 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.352 (#359) | 0.380 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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