Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | W&M -300 HAMP +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +11 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -6.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -5.0 (+6.0) | 144.2 (+32.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -4.6 (+6.4) | 144.5 (+32.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -4.8 (+6.2) | 144.0 (+33.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -5.3 (+5.7) | 144.8 (+32.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | W&M 94 – 85 HAMP |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HAMP 77 – 74 W&M |
| Jan 17, 2025 | W&M 67 – 64 HAMP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | W&M 85 – 73 HAMP |
| Jan 12, 2024 | W&M 73 – 61 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#184) | -4.2 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#186) | -0.68 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#156) | -0.77 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#175) | 0.488 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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