Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | URI -265 RICH +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +5 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | URI -4.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -4.4 (+0.6) | 140.7 (+18.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -5.5 (-0.5) | 140.1 (+18.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -3.8 (+1.2) | 140.1 (+18.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -4.8 (+0.2) | 140.7 (+18.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | URI 69 – 68 RICH |
| Jan 11, 2025 | URI 67 – 64 RICH |
| Feb 22, 2024 | RICH 85 – 77 URI |
| Jan 18, 2023 | RICH 64 – 57 URI |
| Mar 11, 2022 | RICH 64 – 59 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#115) | 2.4 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#113) | -0.08 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#109) | 0.16 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#131) | 0.496 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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