Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | URI +170 RICH -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +8 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -5.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -4.6 (-3.4) | 144.5 (+17.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -5.1 (-2.9) | 142.6 (+19.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -3.8 (-4.2) | 142.7 (+19.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -4.1 (-3.9) | 143.5 (+18.5) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | URI 82 – 77 RICH |
| Jan 22, 2026 | URI 69 – 68 RICH |
| Jan 11, 2025 | URI 67 – 64 RICH |
| Jan 18, 2023 | RICH 64 – 57 URI |
| Mar 11, 2022 | RICH 64 – 59 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-8 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#186) | 7.5 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#170) | 1.61 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#161) | 1.73 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#153) | 0.570 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 12.2% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 17.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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