I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
Richmond Spiders
64 59
FINAL Neutral Conference Atlantic 10
Rhode Island Rams
Atlantic 10 Conference · Capital One Arena (Neutral) · March 11, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RICH -6.0 Away covered
O/U 135.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total RICH win
Actual RICH +5 123 Won
Massey RICH -3.2 (+1.8)
Massey Totals 132.5 (-9.5)
Bradley-Terry 75%
Weighted B-T 74%
Efficiency Plus ML RICH -5.1 (-0.1) 133.1 (-10.1) 73%
Baseline Tuned ML RICH -3.7 (+1.3) 134.9 (-11.9) 66%
Baseline ML RICH -3.5 (+1.5) 134.4 (-11.4) 67%
Baseline Plus ML RICH -4.2 (+0.8) 134.5 (-11.5) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 URI 8277 RICH
Jan 22, 2026 URI 6968 RICH
Jan 11, 2025 URI 6764 RICH
Feb 22, 2024 RICH 8577 URI
Jan 18, 2023 RICH 6457 URI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RICH URI
Overall 24-13 15-16
Conference 10-8 5-12
Home 11-4 10-5
Away 7-5 3-9
Neutral 6-4 2-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.0 67.0
Avg Pts Against 68.4 65.3
Massey 5.9 (#96) 2.7 (#127)
Bradley-Terry 1.08 (#94) 0.00 (#175)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.30 (#95) 0.23 (#154)
RPI 0.551 (#75) 0.510 (#160)
Shooting & Four Factors RICH URI
FG% 44.7% 45.8%
3PT% 33.7% 34.6%
REB / G 32.5 35.6
OREB / G 7.8 9.5
AST / TO 1.54 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 50.8%
TOV% 14.5% 20.6%
ORB% 23.1% 28.4%
FT Rate 20.6% 22.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 46.4%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 19.5%
DRB% 72.2% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 17.0% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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