Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -170 URI +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +1 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -4.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -3.4 (-4.4) | 139.0 (-2.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -2.1 (-3.1) | 137.0 (+0.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -3.2 (-4.2) | 138.5 (-1.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -3.3 (-4.3) | 139.3 (-2.3) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | URI 82 – 77 RICH |
| Jan 11, 2025 | URI 67 – 64 RICH |
| Feb 22, 2024 | RICH 85 – 77 URI |
| Jan 18, 2023 | RICH 64 – 57 URI |
| Mar 11, 2022 | RICH 64 – 59 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#112) | 3.1 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#132) | 0.06 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#113) | 0.48 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#139) | 0.502 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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