Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | RICH +110 URI -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +3 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -6.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -5.5 (+2.5) | 142.6 (-11.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -3.3 (+0.3) | 141.2 (-10.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -5.2 (+2.2) | 139.7 (-8.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -5.5 (+2.5) | 139.4 (-8.4) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | URI 82 – 77 RICH |
| Jan 22, 2026 | URI 69 – 68 RICH |
| Feb 22, 2024 | RICH 85 – 77 URI |
| Jan 18, 2023 | RICH 64 – 57 URI |
| Mar 11, 2022 | RICH 64 – 59 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-11 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#246) | 5.5 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#248) | 1.09 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#243) | 1.25 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#217) | 0.587 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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