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Richmond Spiders
64 57
FINAL Conference
Rhode Island Rams
Atlantic 10 Conference · Robins Center · January 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RICH -7.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money RICH -400 / URI +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total RICH win
Actual RICH +7 121 Won
Massey RICH -10.1 (-3.1)
Massey Totals 129.2 (-8.2)
Bradley-Terry 84%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML RICH -8.8 (-1.8) 131.5 (-10.5) 80%
Baseline Tuned ML RICH -7.2 (-0.2) 131.7 (-10.7) 77%
Baseline ML RICH -8.0 (-1.0) 132.3 (-11.3) 76%
Baseline Plus ML RICH -8.6 (-1.6) 132.2 (-11.2) 76%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 URI 8277 RICH
Jan 22, 2026 URI 6968 RICH
Jan 11, 2025 URI 6764 RICH
Feb 22, 2024 RICH 8577 URI
Mar 11, 2022 RICH 6459 URI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RICH URI
Overall 15-18 9-22
Conference 7-11 5-13
Home 12-4 7-9
Away 1-11 1-10
Neutral 2-3 1-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 68.9 66.0
Avg Pts Against 67.8 70.6
Massey 3.5 (#115) -2.8 (#228)
Bradley-Terry 0.29 (#149) -0.70 (#248)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.68 (#121) -0.76 (#231)
RPI 0.530 (#123) 0.482 (#214)
Shooting & Four Factors RICH URI
FG% 44.1% 39.8%
3PT% 35.4% 29.1%
REB / G 34.6 39.2
OREB / G 7.4 13.0
AST / TO 1.08 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 44.2%
TOV% 17.8% 20.9%
ORB% 22.7% 35.0%
FT Rate 22.7% 28.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.2% 46.7%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 16.6%
DRB% 75.6% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 18.0% 22.9%

Game Analysis

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