Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | DEL +180 MTSU -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +1 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -5.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (+42.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -4.3 (+5.3) | 135.9 (+41.1) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -3.6 (+4.6) | 135.0 (+42.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -3.9 (+4.9) | 135.7 (+41.3) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -4.0 (+5.0) | 136.8 (+40.2) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | MTSU 78 – 66 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#288) | 0.4 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#309) | -0.23 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#278) | -0.39 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#316) | 0.521 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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