Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | MTSU -650 DEL +470 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +12 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -9.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -9.5 (+2.5) | 141.7 (+2.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -7.8 (+4.2) | 138.6 (+5.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -7.8 (+4.2) | 140.2 (+3.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -7.9 (+4.1) | 139.2 (+4.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DEL 89 – 88 MTSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTSU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#158) | -6.4 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#202) | -1.16 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#188) | -1.26 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#146) | 0.445 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTSU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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