Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -410 MORE +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +6 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -11.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -10.6 (-16.6) | 133.4 (-17.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -9.9 (-15.9) | 134.5 (-18.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -10.2 (-16.2) | 130.9 (-14.9) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -10.3 (-16.3) | 132.0 (-16.0) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 MORE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MORE 59 – 47 UTM |
| Dec 20, 2024 | MORE 70 – 69 UTM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MORE 84 – 78 UTM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UTM 88 – 82 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 8-6 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#183) | -9.1 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#132) | -1.05 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#170) | -1.71 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#125) | 0.463 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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