Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MORE +124 UTM -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -3.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -3.8 (-4.2) | 135.2 (+8.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -2.9 (-5.1) | 134.6 (+9.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -3.6 (-4.4) | 133.3 (+10.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -3.2 (-4.8) | 134.5 (+9.5) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MORE 61 – 55 UTM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MORE 59 – 47 UTM |
| Dec 20, 2024 | MORE 70 – 69 UTM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MORE 84 – 78 UTM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UTM 88 – 82 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-10 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#293) | -1.3 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#279) | 0.44 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#303) | 0.14 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#248) | 0.496 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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