Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -240 MORE +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +12 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -6.8 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-31.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -4.4 (-16.4) | 137.2 (-31.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -4.0 (-16.0) | 136.2 (-30.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -4.3 (-16.3) | 135.3 (-29.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -4.6 (-16.6) | 135.9 (-29.9) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MORE 61 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 MORE |
| Dec 20, 2024 | MORE 70 – 69 UTM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MORE 84 – 78 UTM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UTM 88 – 82 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#281) | -10.8 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#304) | -1.35 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#309) | -2.19 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#275) | 0.463 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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