Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -225 UTM +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +1 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -1.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -1.6 (-0.6) | 140.0 (-1.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -2.5 (-1.5) | 142.4 (-3.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -1.6 (-0.6) | 143.6 (-4.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -1.9 (-0.9) | 141.9 (-2.9) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MORE 61 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 MORE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MORE 59 – 47 UTM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MORE 84 – 78 UTM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UTM 88 – 82 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.7 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#329) | -7.8 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#285) | -1.78 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#307) | -3.08 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#298) | 0.401 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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