Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UTM +163 MORE -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +6 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -3.4 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -3.7 (+9.7) | 142.4 (+27.6) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -3.6 (+9.6) | 144.9 (+25.1) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -2.1 (+8.1) | 143.7 (+26.3) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -2.0 (+8.0) | 144.9 (+25.1) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MORE 61 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 MORE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MORE 59 – 47 UTM |
| Dec 20, 2024 | MORE 70 – 69 UTM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MORE 84 – 78 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 9-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#227) | 3.3 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#183) | 0.93 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#208) | 1.15 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#170) | 0.566 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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