Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UTM +250 MORE -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +6 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -5.3 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -4.4 (-1.6) | 147.2 (+14.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -4.6 (-1.4) | 147.7 (+14.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -4.4 (-1.6) | 147.6 (+14.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -4.1 (-1.9) | 146.6 (+15.4) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MORE 61 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 MORE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MORE 59 – 47 UTM |
| Dec 20, 2024 | MORE 70 – 69 UTM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UTM 88 – 82 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 9-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#211) | 2.5 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#166) | 0.62 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#192) | 0.74 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#138) | 0.555 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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