Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -185 HCU +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +8 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -4.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-33.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -2.2 (+5.8) | 132.1 (-30.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -3.1 (+4.9) | 131.3 (-29.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -2.5 (+5.5) | 132.3 (-30.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -3.0 (+5.0) | 133.5 (-31.5) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | SELA 74 – 71 HCU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | SELA 69 – 60 HCU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | HCU 70 – 62 SELA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SELA 81 – 78 HCU |
| Jan 30, 2024 | SELA 80 – 58 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 8-14 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#269) | -8.0 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#312) | -1.73 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#301) | -2.05 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#324) | 0.410 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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