Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -900 HCU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -13.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -12.1 (-9.1) | 143.1 (+15.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -10.9 (-7.9) | 143.3 (+15.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -11.3 (-8.3) | 141.2 (+17.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -12.3 (-9.3) | 142.3 (+16.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SELA 55 – 47 HCU |
| Dec 13, 2025 | SELA 74 – 71 HCU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | SELA 69 – 60 HCU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | HCU 70 – 62 SELA |
| Jan 30, 2024 | SELA 80 – 58 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-8 |
| Away | 6-10 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 84.8 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#279) | -16.5 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#261) | -2.46 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#283) | -3.32 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#225) | 0.394 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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