Betting Lines
| Spread | HCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | HCU -148 SELA +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | HCU -9.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HCU -6.1 (-9.1) | 133.1 (+11.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HCU -4.6 (-7.6) | 132.8 (+12.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HCU -5.3 (-8.3) | 135.2 (+9.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HCU -4.4 (-7.4) | 133.9 (+11.1) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SELA 55 – 47 HCU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | SELA 69 – 60 HCU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | HCU 70 – 62 SELA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SELA 81 – 78 HCU |
| Jan 30, 2024 | SELA 80 – 58 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 6-16 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 3-14 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#237) | -8.5 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#228) | -2.25 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#244) | -3.45 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#275) | 0.380 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 23.9% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 37.6% |
Game Analysis
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