Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -290 HCU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +8 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -8.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -5.8 (-13.8) | 137.9 (-5.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -6.7 (-14.7) | 137.6 (-5.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -7.0 (-15.0) | 137.9 (-5.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -6.7 (-14.7) | 139.5 (-7.5) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SELA 55 – 47 HCU |
| Dec 13, 2025 | SELA 74 – 71 HCU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | SELA 69 – 60 HCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SELA 81 – 78 HCU |
| Jan 30, 2024 | SELA 80 – 58 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 9-8 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#176) | -6.1 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#204) | -1.09 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#213) | -1.05 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#201) | 0.455 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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