Betting Lines
| Spread | HCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | HCU -125 SELA +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +9 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -0.6 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -0.6 (-8.4) | 138.4 (-9.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -0.5 (-8.5) | 139.0 (-10.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -0.5 (-8.5) | 140.6 (-11.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -0.6 (-8.4) | 139.1 (-10.1) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SELA 55 – 47 HCU |
| Dec 13, 2025 | SELA 74 – 71 HCU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | HCU 70 – 62 SELA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SELA 81 – 78 HCU |
| Jan 30, 2024 | SELA 80 – 58 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#255) | -1.8 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#262) | -0.30 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#240) | -0.58 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#245) | 0.493 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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