Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +115 SELA -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +22 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -1.0 (-21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -1.3 (-20.7) | 138.5 (-0.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -2.2 (-19.8) | 138.0 (+0.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -1.4 (-20.6) | 136.8 (+1.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -1.1 (-20.9) | 137.6 (+0.4) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SELA 55 – 47 HCU |
| Dec 13, 2025 | SELA 74 – 71 HCU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | SELA 69 – 60 HCU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | HCU 70 – 62 SELA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SELA 81 – 78 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-15 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#339) | -8.4 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#338) | -1.67 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.93 (#340) | -2.22 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.385 (#343) | 0.425 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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