Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -3200 OKST +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +37 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -18.4 (+18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.0 (-38.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -19.5 (+17.5) | 164.3 (-33.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ARIZ -16.4 (+20.6) | 162.5 (-31.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ARIZ -17.1 (+19.9) | 161.2 (-30.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -17.9 (+19.1) | 162.1 (-31.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2025 | ARIZ 92 – 78 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-3 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-6 |
| Away | 9-1 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 11-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 83.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 83.2 |
| Massey | 25.9 (#3) | 10.5 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.50 (#1) | 2.43 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 8.78 (#1) | 3.05 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.682 (#2) | 0.572 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 43.4 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 39.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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