So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
Big 12 Conference · Gallagher-Iba Arena · January 22, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -8.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Over
Money OKST +300 / ARIZ -400
Model Predictions
Spread Total OKST win
Actual ARIZ +14 170 Lost
Massey ARIZ -13.4 (-0.6)
Massey Totals 154.2 (+15.8)
Bradley-Terry 29%
Weighted B-T 19%
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -10.4 (-3.6) 148.0 (+22.0) 20%
Model 4 ML ARIZ -11.4 (-2.6) 150.7 (+19.3) 17%
Model 3 ML ARIZ -10.2 (-3.8) 147.5 (+22.5) 19%
Baseline ML ARIZ -10.2 (-3.8) 146.8 (+23.2) 19%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 ARIZ 8447 OKST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OKST ARIZ
Overall 17-18 24-13
Conference 7-13 14-6
Home 13-4 13-3
Away 3-10 6-5
Neutral 1-4 5-5
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.0 82.5
Avg Pts Against 76.3 73.3
Massey 2.5 (#123) 19.4 (#11)
Bradley-Terry 0.72 (#107) 2.28 (#33)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.97 (#103) 3.15 (#30)
RPI 0.518 (#147) 0.605 (#33)
Shooting & Four Factors OKST ARIZ
FG% 42.1% 47.8%
3PT% 32.3% 31.8%
REB / G 36.6 40.4
OREB / G 12.8 12.6
AST / TO 0.96 1.45
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.7% 53.2%
TOV% 18.4% 16.3%
ORB% 34.6% 36.8%
FT Rate 31.6% 27.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.5% 46.4%
Opp TOV% 21.4% 18.4%
DRB% 74.6% 71.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.1% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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