Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC -185 EIU +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +6 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -2.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -3.3 (-9.3) | 136.7 (-22.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -2.1 (-8.1) | 137.6 (-23.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -2.4 (-8.4) | 138.0 (-24.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -2.4 (-8.4) | 138.0 (-24.0) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | EIU 71 – 61 TNTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNTC 59 – 54 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TNTC 69 – 64 EIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | TNTC 75 – 67 EIU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | EIU 68 – 59 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#315) | -10.4 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#313) | -1.67 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#314) | -2.28 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#291) | 0.426 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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