I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
Ohio Valley Conference · Hooper Eblen Center · February 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread TNTC -4.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money TNTC -185 / EIU +154
Model Predictions
Spread Total TNTC win
Actual EIU +6 114 Lost
Massey TNTC -2.8 (-8.8) — —
Massey Totals — 140.2 (-26.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 61% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 64% ✗
Baseline Plus ML TNTC -2.4 (-8.4) 138.0 (-24.0) 58% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TNTC -3.3 (-9.3) 136.7 (-22.7) 67% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML TNTC -2.1 (-8.1) 137.6 (-23.6) 59% ✗
Baseline ML TNTC -2.4 (-8.4) 138.0 (-24.0) 58% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 9, 2026 EIU 71 – 61 TNTC
Feb 8, 2025 TNTC 59 – 54 EIU
Jan 10, 2025 TNTC 69 – 64 EIU
Feb 24, 2024 TNTC 75 – 67 EIU
Jan 26, 2024 EIU 68 – 59 TNTC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TNTC EIU
Overall 13-18 13-20
Conference 8-12 8-12
Home 8-6 9-6
Away 5-12 3-13
Neutral 0-0 1-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 70.2 64.6
Avg Pts Against 75.6 72.2
Massey -10.6 (#315) -10.4 (#314)
Bradley-Terry -1.71 (#313) -1.67 (#311)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.28 (#314) -2.28 (#313)
RPI 0.439 (#291) 0.426 (#314)
Shooting & Four Factors TNTC EIU
FG% 44.0% 40.4%
3PT% 33.5% 31.6%
REB / G 34.4 31.0
OREB / G 10.9 9.2
AST / TO 0.88 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.2% 45.4%
TOV% 19.5% 19.6%
ORB% 31.5% 26.9%
FT Rate 25.3% 25.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 50.9%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 19.1%
DRB% 67.3% 64.5%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 27.3%

Game Analysis

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