Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | EIU -130 TNTC +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -0.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -0.7 (-4.3) | 141.9 (-8.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -0.8 (-5.8) | 143.9 (-10.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -0.4 (-4.6) | 139.2 (-6.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -0.5 (-4.5) | 139.7 (-6.7) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | EIU 60 – 54 TNTC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | EIU 71 – 61 TNTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNTC 59 – 54 EIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | TNTC 75 – 67 EIU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | EIU 68 – 59 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#324) | -5.9 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#337) | -0.92 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.23 (#344) | -1.57 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#340) | 0.475 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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