Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -110 EIU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TNTC -0.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -0.5 (+8.5) | 133.9 (+8.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -0.1 (+7.9) | 131.8 (+10.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -0.0 (+8.0) | 132.2 (+9.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -0.4 (+8.4) | 131.9 (+10.1) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | EIU 60 – 54 TNTC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | EIU 71 – 61 TNTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNTC 59 – 54 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TNTC 69 – 64 EIU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | EIU 68 – 59 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#331) | -8.6 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#334) | -1.49 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#326) | -1.87 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#325) | 0.439 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 18.4% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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