Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | EIU -225 TNTC +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +9 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -7.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -4.2 (+4.8) | 136.2 (-9.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -4.3 (+4.7) | 134.0 (-7.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -4.2 (+4.8) | 135.0 (-8.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -5.1 (+3.9) | 134.6 (-7.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | EIU 60 – 54 TNTC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | EIU 71 – 61 TNTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNTC 59 – 54 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TNTC 69 – 64 EIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | TNTC 75 – 67 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#298) | -11.3 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#284) | -1.80 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#290) | -2.24 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#263) | 0.410 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 17.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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