Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | EIU -105 TNTC -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -3.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -1.2 (+8.8) | 138.4 (-6.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -0.9 (+9.1) | 137.4 (-5.4) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -1.2 (+8.8) | 136.6 (-4.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -1.3 (+8.7) | 137.7 (-5.7) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | EIU 60 – 54 TNTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNTC 59 – 54 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TNTC 69 – 64 EIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | TNTC 75 – 67 EIU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | EIU 68 – 59 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#300) | -8.6 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#307) | -1.12 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#307) | -1.56 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#292) | 0.446 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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