Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | IDST +114 UNCO -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | IDST -0.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (-27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -0.7 (-8.7) | 148.7 (-18.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UNCO -0.4 (-7.6) | 148.3 (-18.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | IDST -0.7 (-8.7) | 147.4 (-17.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDST -0.0 (-8.0) | 147.7 (-17.7) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 72 IDST |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UNCO 86 – 72 IDST |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNCO 93 – 92 IDST |
| Mar 11, 2024 | IDST 83 – 76 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UNCO 81 – 79 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#202) | 0.3 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#255) | -0.25 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#242) | -0.17 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#258) | 0.477 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 12.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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