Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -400 IDST +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +1 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -6.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+35.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -5.4 (-4.4) | 147.5 (+37.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -3.5 (-2.5) | 145.7 (+39.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -5.8 (-4.8) | 149.1 (+35.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -6.0 (-5.0) | 148.7 (+36.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNCO 69 – 61 IDST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 72 IDST |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UNCO 86 – 72 IDST |
| Mar 11, 2024 | IDST 83 – 76 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UNCO 81 – 79 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#131) | -0.1 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#130) | -0.98 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#129) | -1.16 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#144) | 0.463 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 39.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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