Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -185 IDST +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +13 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -2.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -2.4 (+10.6) | 149.5 (+7.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -1.9 (+11.1) | 152.1 (+4.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -2.4 (+10.6) | 153.1 (+3.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -2.0 (+11.0) | 150.7 (+6.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNCO 69 – 61 IDST |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UNCO 86 – 72 IDST |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNCO 93 – 92 IDST |
| Mar 11, 2024 | IDST 83 – 76 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UNCO 81 – 79 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#152) | 2.4 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#131) | -0.18 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#147) | -0.04 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#146) | 0.470 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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