Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | IDST -105 UNCO -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +14 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | IDST -0.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -0.1 (-13.9) | 147.2 (+10.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -0.7 (-13.3) | 145.7 (+12.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -1.0 (-13.0) | 148.5 (+9.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -0.6 (-13.4) | 148.3 (+9.7) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNCO 69 – 61 IDST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 72 IDST |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNCO 93 – 92 IDST |
| Mar 11, 2024 | IDST 83 – 76 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UNCO 81 – 79 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-10 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#187) | 1.5 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#257) | 0.66 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#238) | 0.87 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#284) | 0.521 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 40.1% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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