Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -395 DAY +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +26 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -8.1 (+17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -9.7 (+16.3) | 147.1 (+24.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -8.8 (+17.2) | 145.9 (+26.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -8.9 (+17.1) | 146.0 (+26.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -9.5 (+16.5) | 148.4 (+23.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | VCU 70 – 62 DAY |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VCU 68 – 62 DAY |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DAY 79 – 76 VCU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VCU 73 – 68 DAY |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DAY 91 – 86 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#51) | 5.7 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#52) | 0.93 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#50) | 1.21 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#46) | 0.553 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 36.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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