Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -650 DAY +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +3 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -10.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -10.0 (-13.0) | 138.2 (+16.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -10.7 (-13.7) | 139.4 (+15.6) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -10.1 (-13.1) | 140.8 (+14.2) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -10.7 (-13.7) | 138.9 (+16.1) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | VCU 70 – 62 DAY |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VCU 68 – 62 DAY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | VCU 99 – 73 DAY |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VCU 73 – 68 DAY |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DAY 91 – 86 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 16-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#34) | 7.2 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#50) | 1.42 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#42) | 1.82 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#34) | 0.571 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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