Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -166 DAY +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -4.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -3.0 (+5.0) | 138.2 (-6.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -2.8 (+5.2) | 139.8 (-7.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -3.5 (+4.5) | 136.9 (-4.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -3.3 (+4.7) | 134.8 (-2.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | VCU 68 – 62 DAY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | VCU 99 – 73 DAY |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DAY 79 – 76 VCU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VCU 73 – 68 DAY |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DAY 91 – 86 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#48) | 7.7 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#41) | 1.64 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#45) | 2.01 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#29) | 0.576 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 35.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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