Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -950 UTA +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +21 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -9.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -7.3 (+13.7) | 139.4 (+1.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -8.5 (+12.5) | 139.3 (+1.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -8.1 (+12.9) | 138.5 (+2.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -7.8 (+13.2) | 140.4 (+0.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UVU 67 – 65 UTA |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UVU 66 – 54 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UVU 86 – 74 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UVU 94 – 73 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UVU 85 – 83 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#90) | 0.6 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#86) | 0.59 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#89) | 0.65 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#59) | 0.532 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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