Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UTA -125 UVU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +2 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -0.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -1.8 (-0.2) | 142.4 (+25.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -0.1 (-2.1) | 140.3 (+27.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -2.1 (+0.1) | 140.5 (+27.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -1.4 (-0.6) | 141.5 (+26.5) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UVU 67 – 65 UTA |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UVU 66 – 54 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVU 81 – 60 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UVU 86 – 74 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UVU 94 – 73 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 15-1 |
| Home | 9-4 | 12-0 |
| Away | 3-11 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#209) | 1.8 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#271) | 0.49 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#254) | 0.32 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#267) | 0.532 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.2% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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