Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -410 UTA +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -6.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -5.9 (-3.9) | 131.1 (+0.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -6.7 (-4.7) | 131.1 (+0.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -6.1 (-4.1) | 130.6 (+1.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -5.8 (-3.8) | 129.8 (+2.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UVU 66 – 54 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVU 81 – 60 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UVU 86 – 74 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UVU 94 – 73 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UVU 85 – 83 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#91) | -0.4 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#74) | 0.42 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#80) | 0.49 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#37) | 0.525 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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