Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -450 UTA +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +21 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -8.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -5.7 (+15.3) | 148.2 (+18.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -6.7 (+14.3) | 145.9 (+21.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -6.6 (+14.4) | 148.4 (+18.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -7.2 (+13.8) | 147.4 (+19.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UVU 67 – 65 UTA |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UVU 66 – 54 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVU 81 – 60 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UVU 86 – 74 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UVU 85 – 83 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-0 | 9-4 |
| Away | 10-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#134) | -3.1 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#105) | -0.70 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#126) | -0.79 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#90) | 0.463 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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