Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -750 UTA +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -8.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -8.3 (+3.7) | 135.3 (+24.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -7.2 (+4.8) | 135.0 (+25.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -6.6 (+5.4) | 135.3 (+24.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -6.3 (+5.7) | 135.1 (+24.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UVU 67 – 65 UTA |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UVU 66 – 54 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVU 81 – 60 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UVU 94 – 73 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UVU 85 – 83 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#87) | 1.8 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#79) | 1.02 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#84) | 1.10 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#54) | 0.552 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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