Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UTA +215 UVU -265 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +12 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -4.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -2.9 (-9.1) | 136.0 (-16.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -4.2 (-7.8) | 135.2 (-15.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -3.7 (-8.3) | 135.4 (-15.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -4.2 (-7.8) | 135.9 (-15.9) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UVU 67 – 65 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVU 81 – 60 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UVU 86 – 74 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UVU 94 – 73 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UVU 85 – 83 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-4 | 15-1 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#169) | 7.2 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#136) | 1.09 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#133) | 1.38 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#139) | 0.572 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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