Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -115 AMCC -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -0.1 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -0.1 (-7.1) | 133.6 (+25.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -0.3 (-7.3) | 133.1 (+25.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -0.6 (-7.6) | 131.6 (+27.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -0.5 (-7.5) | 132.3 (+26.7) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | NICH 76 – 71 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NICH 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMCC 61 – 57 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NICH 81 – 73 AMCC |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NICH 67 – 63 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-10 | 13-9 |
| Home | 6-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#235) | -1.4 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#220) | -0.62 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#234) | -0.41 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#216) | 0.486 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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