Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -200 NICH +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +8 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -3.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -2.3 (-10.3) | 140.8 (+13.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -3.3 (-11.3) | 140.5 (+13.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -2.3 (-10.3) | 138.3 (+15.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -1.8 (-9.8) | 139.1 (+14.9) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | AMCC 83 – 76 NICH |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NICH 76 – 71 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NICH 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMCC 61 – 57 NICH |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NICH 67 – 63 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#178) | -4.4 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#198) | -0.31 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#196) | -0.64 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#152) | 0.514 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.8% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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