Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | NICH +115 AMCC -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +4 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -0.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -0.3 (+4.3) | 145.2 (-15.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -2.0 (+6.0) | 141.6 (-11.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -0.1 (+3.9) | 139.6 (-9.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -0.1 (+4.1) | 141.0 (-11.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | AMCC 83 – 76 NICH |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NICH 76 – 71 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NICH 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMCC 61 – 57 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NICH 81 – 73 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 8-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#267) | -1.8 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#232) | -0.42 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#262) | -0.54 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#219) | 0.481 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 37.4% |
Game Analysis
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