Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -265 NICH +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -6.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -4.0 (-9.0) | 135.6 (+11.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -4.3 (-9.3) | 137.0 (+10.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -3.8 (-8.8) | 135.2 (+11.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -4.0 (-9.0) | 135.3 (+11.7) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | AMCC 83 – 76 NICH |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NICH 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMCC 61 – 57 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NICH 81 – 73 AMCC |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NICH 67 – 63 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-9 | 12-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#188) | -4.0 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#211) | -1.53 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#196) | -1.85 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#111) | 0.434 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.3% | 35.6% |
Game Analysis
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