Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -185 NICH +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +4 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -7.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-37.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -5.5 (-1.5) | 150.3 (-32.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -4.9 (-0.9) | 149.4 (-31.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -5.0 (-1.0) | 148.4 (-30.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -4.6 (-0.6) | 149.1 (-31.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | AMCC 83 – 76 NICH |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NICH 76 – 71 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NICH 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NICH 81 – 73 AMCC |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NICH 67 – 63 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#145) | -2.4 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#193) | -0.28 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#173) | -0.58 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#186) | 0.492 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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